Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing recent second serve performance reveals that Svitolina has secured 41.71% of points, compared to Pegula's 41.6% in the last six months. The similarity in these percentages suggests a closely matched contest in this area. When it comes to break point management, Svitolina's 52.5% saved breakpoints are slightly higher than Pegula's 45.74%, offering a potential edge in deciding moments.

The return game stats further highlight the competitive nature between the two. Svitolina leads in winning return points from opponents' second serves with 53.42% compared to Pegula's 46.51%. However, both are nearly identical when facing first serve returns, with Svitolina at 29.76% and Pegula at 29.53%. This could indicate that both players are adept at capitalizing on second serve opportunities.

Examining their performance over the past year, Svitolina boasts a 60.87% win rate (28 wins, 18 losses), while Pegula surpasses this with a 75% win rate (48 wins, 16 losses). These figures may favor Pegula as the more consistent victor in recent matches. In terms of preferred surfaces, both players excel on hard courts. Svitolina's win rate stands at 68% on hard surfaces, marginally ahead of Pegula’s 67%, though Pegula has been more successful than Svitolina on grass and indoor hard courts.

In their head-to-head history, Pegula has the upper hand with 5 victories to Svitolina's 2 in their seven encounters, winning 11 of the 18 sets played. Particularly telling is their last meeting at the Qatar Total Energies Open – Doha, where Pegula triumphed in straight sets. In stressful match conditions, Pegula has also shown superior ability by winning the sole tiebreak in their encounters and having a 3-1 lead in deciding sets.

Pegula has faced opponents with a higher average ranking (58.33) over the last year than Svitolina's opponents (64.8), indicating tougher competition. In deciding sets across the broader field, Pegula's win rate of 60% again surpasses Svitolina's 47%. Break point conversion rates further bolster Pegula's position, as her recent 38.32% conversion rate edges out Svitolina’s 35.11%.

Considering all statistical insights and performance patterns, Pegula emerges as the stronger contender and the predicted winner for the upcoming match.